Gioi Thieu Ve Soi Keo TopBet: Khong Con La Co Bac Mu Quang

Chao anh em dam me ca cuoc truc tuyen! Neu ban da tung "xuong tien" ma cam thay minh dang danh cuoc dua tren cam tinh, may rui, thi bai viet nay chinh la "phao cuu sinh" danh cho ban. Soi keo topbetkhong phai la mot thuat ngu qua xa la, nhung de soi chuan, soi sau thi lai la mot nghe thuat doi hoi su ket hop giua kien thuc, phan tich va mot chut manh khoe.

TopBet – noi quy tu nhung tran dau dinh cao va ty le cuoc hap dan. Tuy nhien, dang sau nhung con so nhay mua la ca mot chien truong thong tin ma chi nhung nguoi biet "doc" moi co the chien thang. Muc tieu cua chung ta hom nay la bien ban tu nguoi choi "mu mo" thanh mot chuyen gia phan tich tu tin.

Hieu Dung Ve Ty Le Cuoc (Odds): Nen Tang Cua Moi Su Phan Tich

Truoc khi di sau vao ky thuat soi keo, chung ta can nam vung ban chat cua ty le cuoc. Ty le cuoc khong chi don thuan la so tien ban thang duoc, no con la xac suat duoc nha cai (Bookmaker) gan cho mot su kien.

Doc Hieu Cac Loai Ty Le Pho Bien

Cac nha cai thuong su dung ba loai ty le chinh:

1. Odds Chau Au (Decimal Odds): De hieu nhat, vi du 2.00 nghia la dat 1 an 2 (gom ca von).


2. Odds Chau A (Handicap/Keo Chap): Pho bien nhat trong bong da, dung de can bang thuc luc hai doi bang cach chap diem.


3. Odds My (Moneyline): Thuong dung cho cac mon the thao My, cho biet so tien can dat de thang 100 don vi.

Meo nho: Khi soi keo, hay tap trung vao Keo Chau A. Vi Keo Chau A duoc thiet ke de "can bang" kha nang thang thua, nen no phan anh ro nhat su chenh lech thuc luc sau khi da duoc dieu chinh.

Buoc 1: Phan Tich Chuyen Sau Luc Luong Hai Doi (Deep Dive Analysis)

Day la giai doan "cay cuoc" thong tin quan trong nhat. Dung chi nhin vao BXH!

Phong Do Gan Day: Dung Chi Xem Ket Qua

Xem ket qua thang thua la chua du. Hay xem cach ho thang/thua:

Chuoi tran: Doi A thang 5 tran lien tiep, nhung 3 tran la san nha truoc doi thu yeu hon? Phong do co the dang bi "ao".

Hieu suat tan cong/phong ngu: So ban thang/ban thua trung binh trong 5-10 tran gan nhat. Doi manh nhung hang thu dang "long leo" la tin hieu dang luu tam.

"Keo Phu": Xem xet thanh tich doi dau (Head-to-Head - H2H) va phong do tren san khach/san nha. Mot so doi rat "ky ro" voi doi thu nao do, bat ke phong do hien tai.

Yeu To Nhan Su: Ai Thieu Ai?

Day la yeu to co the lam thay doi cuc dien tran dau chi trong 1 gio truoc khi bong lan.

Chan thuong va Treo gio: Thieu vang mot tien dao chu luc (Top Scorer) hay mot tru cot tuyen giua se anh huong rat lon den loi choi.

Su Luan Chuyen Doi Hinh: Huan luyen vien co xoay tua doi hinh cho tran dau quan trong sap toi khong? Su met moi tich tu la ke thu cua doi cua tren.

Buoc 2: Doc Vi Su Bien Dong Cua Ty Le Cuoc (Line Movement)

Ty le cuoc khong phai la co dinh; chung la dong chay thong tin lien tuc. Su thay doi cua keo chinh la "tieng noi" cua thi truong.

Keo Mo (Opening Odds) va Keo Chay (Live Odds)

Khi nha cai niem yet keo, do la nhan dinh ban dau cua ho. Khi tien do vao mot cua nhieu hon, ty le se phai dieu chinh de can bang lai loi nhuan.

Keo Chap Tang Cao (Keo Tren Bi Day Len): Neu doi A chap ban dau la -0.5, nhung sau do tang len -0.75, dieu nay cho thay luong tien lon dang do vao cua doi A. Nha cai dang muon khuyen khich nguoi choi dat vao cua doi B. Day co the la dau hieu tot cho cua duoi (neu ban tin vao viec "bat bai" nha cai).

Keo Chap Giam (Keo Tren Bi Keo Xuong): Neu keo -1.00 bat ngo giam ve -0.75, co the co tin tuc bat loi (nhu chan thuong phut chot) vua duoc tiet lo, khien tien do vao doi cua duoi nhieu hon.

Nguyen tac Vang: Dung nhin vao keo cuoi cung, hay nhin vao qua trinh di chuyen cua keo tu luc mo den luc gan gio thi dau.

Buoc 3: Phan Tich Keo Phu - Tai Xiu (Over/Under)

Keo Tai Xiu (O/U) la mot cong cu tuyet voi de kiem tra tinh toan cua nha cai ve xu huong tran dau.

Lien Ket Giua Keo Chap va Keo Tai Xiu

Keo Chap Cao + Keo Tai Thap: Vi du: Doi A chap sau (1.5) nhung tong ban thang chi dat 2.5. Dieu nay ngu y rang nha cai tin rang doi A se thang, nhung chien thang do co the khong qua thuyet phuc ve mat ty so (vi du: 1-0, 2-0). Day la tin hieu nen can trong voi cua Tai.

* Keo Chap Thap + Keo Tai Cao: Thuong xay ra khi hai doi co loi choi tan cong coi mo hoac hang thu yeu. Keo nay khuyen khich nguoi choi chon Tai.

Luu y ve "San Nha/San Khach" trong Keo Tai Xiu: Mot so doi noi tieng choi phong ngu chat che khi xa nha (lam giam kha nang co nhieu ban thang) hoac nguoc lai, choi tan cong tong luc khi duoc choi tren san quen.

Buoc 4: Tam Ly Hoc Trong Soi Keo TopBet

Thi truong ca cuoc duoc van hanh boi dam dong. Va dam dong thi thuong sai.

Cam Bay "Keo Thom" Ro Rang

Tran dau ma tat ca moi nguoi deu thay doi A manh hon, ty le cuoc cua A rat thap (vi du 1.20), thi do la luc ban can phai canh giac. Nha cai da "lot duong" cho phan thang do voi ty le an thap den muc khong dang mao hiem. Nhung tran dau "kho nhan", ty le can bang moi la noi cac chuyen gia tim thay gia tri (Value Bet).

Chon Keo Danh (Value Betting)

Value Bet la khi ban tin rang xac suat thang thuc su cua mot doi cao hon xac suat ma ty le cuoc dang the hien.

Vi du: Ban phan tich va tin rang doi B co 40% co hoi thang, nhung ty le cuoc dang ngu y xac suat chi la 33% (Odds 3.00). Day chinh la gia tri ma ban can san lung.

Tong Ket: Xay Dung Quy Trinh Soi Keo Cua Rieng Ban

Soi keo TopBet khong phai la doan mo, no la mot quy trinh co he thong:

1. Thu thap Du lieu: Phong do, nhan su, lich su doi dau.


2. Phan tich Ty le: Theo doi su dich chuyen keo chinh va keo phu.


3. Doi chieu: So sanh phan tich du lieu voi tin hieu tu thi truong (keo).


4. Ra Quyet Dinh: Chi dat cuoc khi ban tim thay Value Bet ro rang.

Hay nho, kien nhan va ky luat la chia khoa de tru vung tren thi truong nay. Chuc anh em soi keo sang suot va gat hai duoc nhieu thanh cong! Xem them: Keo chau a